Gameplay Balance and the Bond Market:
Use as a Corporate Funding Source:
• Game play Balance: You don't want one source of company financing to become the go to feature there should be trade offs between each type that makes you have to weigh the options.
• Potential Corporate Funding Sources:
o Debt:
- General: Allows Owners to Retain Equity Control of Company
- Bonds: Lower Interest Cost than Loans, Better for Larger Scale Organizations or Projects
- Loans: Easier to Obtain than Bonds, Better for Startup Organizations or Small Projects
o Equity Stock/Shares: Can only borrow so much before you need equity to finance growth
• Potential Balance Tools?:
o Minimum Issue Size say $100+ Million: meaning that you need something that you can put the large amount into to get a return greater than your interest cost: new firms, paying down higher cost loans, etc?
o Does the Difference in Interest Rates from Loans to Bonds create a good trade off?
o Issue Limitations:
-Option 1: Corporate Bonds can only be issued if all bond interest payments do not exceed X% of companies prior year operating profits to maintain a reasonable Interest coverage ratio this also means that new startup companies without profits cannot issue bonds?
-Option 2: Corporate Bonds can only be issued if all bond interest payments do not exceed X% of companies prior year revenue?
-Option 3: Limit Bonds to X% of a Companies Capitalization?
o Possibly have an upper limit on Loans so that you have to borrow using bonds when you company becomes large. Something like you can only have $250-$500 Million in loans at a time.
Use as an Investment Market:
• Game play Balance: You don't want one type of investment to become the go to feature there should be trade offs between each type that makes you have to weigh the options.
• Potential Investments:
-Bonds: Steady but limited Returns in exchange for Reduced Risk of Loss
-Equity Stock/Shares: Higher Potential Return in exchange for Higher Risk of Loss
-Real Estate
• Distribution of Credit Quality and Availability of Investment Opportunities:
o Real World:
- The Bond Market is typically much larger than the equity market the game market should look similar.
- The Credit Quality is concentrated at the lower end of investment grade the majority being A or BBB the game market should look similar. Junk Bonds Should be a small part of the market.
https://www.spglobal.com/en/research-in ... ay-in-2019
• Potential Balance Tools?
o Risk: Safety of Principle
-Potential Maximum Loss: Bonds 50% of Principal, Equity 100% of Principal
https://www.thebalance.com/bond-default ... ion-416900
-Bonds should not default very often because of strict issuing standards and a typical bond owner should not lose more than 75%-80% of their principal in an average default.
o Returns:
-Investment Grade Equity Returns: Earnings: ~5%-7%+, Earnings Growth: ~3%-5%+, Total Return 8%-12%+, Valuation Multiple: 10-20 Times Earnings
-Investment Grade Bonds Returns: Interest: ~5%-8%+, Potential for Price Appreciation depending on interest rates
o Distribution of Credit Quality and Availability:
Simulated Market:
-National Government Debt Market: Significantly Lower Interest Payments that Municipal and Corporate Bonds to provide a bond market base
-Local Competitors: Lower Interest Payments that In Game Corporate Bonds to provide a bond market base.
In Game Organizations:
-Municipals: Cities must Borrow Minimum of 20%-25% of their Capital or allocate X% of tax revenue to interest payments and borrow accordingly yet attempt to maintain a reasonable credit quality.
-In Game Companies: AI companies must finance minimum of 20%-25% of their company assets with bonds or allocate a 25-50% of operating profits to interest payments and borrow accordingly.